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Forecast
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Current Conditions
Independence

Temp: 75.9°F
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Independence , VA

Forecast Last Updated at Wednesday, August 24, 2016 at 12:16PM

Summer Says Hello Again

Temperatures will be on the rise the rest of the week, with well above normal readings expected by Friday. The humidity will increase as well, and we will see a few afternoon and evening showers and thundershowers dot the ridges starting on Thursday. By Saturday we may see a few more storms, but you’ll still be lucky to get a shower. Temperatures cool off a bit from Sunday onward, but rainfall chances still look quite slim. See the discussion section for our thoughts on the tropics.

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Wednesday

Hi: 81 Lo: 65

Partly cloudy; Continued pleasant; Light south wind
Thursday

Hi: 84 Lo: 67

A little more sun; Warmer and muggier; Cannot rule out a PM shower or t-shower; Light SW wind
Friday

Hi: 88 Lo: 69

Afternoon build-ups; Rather hot; A couple renegade PM showers or t-showers; Light and variable wind
Saturday

Hi: 87 Lo: 69

Partly cloudy; Continued rather hot; Isolated mainly PM showers and thunderstorms
Sunday

Hi: 85 Lo: 68

More sun than clouds; A bit cooler; Still muggy; Cannot rule out a PM shower or t-shower

Further Out

Monday - Partly sunny; Widely separated PM showers and t-showers; High in the lower 80s; Low in the mid 60s
Tuesday - Continued partly sunny; Just a couple PM showers and t-showers; High in the lower 80s; Low in the mid 60s

Forecast Discussion

A deep layer ridge of high pressure will build across the region over the next couple days. With it will come increasing heat and humidity. Friday may be the hottest day of the entire 7 day forecast with westerly downslope flow. By Thursday we should start to see just a few afternoon and evening showers and t-showers develop. With strong subsidence and warm mid-level temps, the best we’ll probably be able to do is “cannot rule out” wording in the forecast.

Rainfall chances may increase just a hair for Saturday as a weak boundary drops into the region. This represents a transition to somewhat cooler easterly low level flow which may be with us for a while. It won’t be as moist as our easterly flow usually gets, and we’ll still have the big ridge aloft. Still, for Saturday at least things may pick up a bit. After that conditions look rather stable for several days, dropping us back into “cannot rule out” territory for Sunday through Tuesday.

The tropical wave near the Lesser Antilles is the one that has had our attention for a while. It will probably become a named storm (Hermine) in the next 2-4 days as it tracks NW across the Bahamas. It then is expected to pass across Florida and be in the Gulf of Mexico by Monday. Once in the Gulf it gains additional strength before running into the Gulf Coast. Exactly where along the Gulf Coast is unknowable at this time. It could impact our weather later next week.

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