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Current Conditions

Temp: 66.4°F
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Independence , VA

Forecast Last Updated at Thursday, April 27, 2017 at 6:57AM

Afternoon Thunder

A cold front will drive scattered shower and thundershower activity into the region this afternoon. The rainfall moves out quickly this evening. Expect some valley fog later at night. Friday and Saturday will be quite warm for this time of year. No rain is expected Friday, with just a renegade “ridge-runner” or two for the PM hours Saturday. A stronger front slowly approaches on Sunday. Only isolated showers and storms are expected during the daylight hours, with a bit more activity at night. Then for Monday we’ll see abundant shower and thunderstorm activity along the front most of the day.

The Golf-O-Meter is now the Raccoon-O-Meter for MerleFest in Wilkesboro, NC, Thursday through Sunday! Overall the weather looks terrific. Unusual warmth will be the most notable weather feature this weekend. But scattered afternoon thundershowers will be around today. Tonight looks dry by the time Mandolin Orange and then the Avett Brothers hit the main stage. Friday will be dry. Saturday has just a barely worth mentioning chance of an afternoon thundershower. An isolated thunder shower is possible there late Sunday. See our Hour by Hour MerleFest Forecast for details.


Hi: 75 Lo: 58

Increasing clouds; Scattered afternoon and evening showers & t-showers; South wind 5-15 mph

Hi: 80 Lo: 62

Patchy valley fog early, then mostly sunny; Warm; South wind 5-10 mph

Hi: 83 Lo: 62

Partly cloudy; Even warmer; Cannot rule out a PM shower or t-storm; SW wind 5-15 mph

Hi: 78 Lo: 61

Partly to mostly cloudy; Isolated PM showers & thunderstorms; Better coverage Sun Night

Hi: 68 Lo: 47

Mostly cloudy; A little cooler; Showers and t-storms likely

Further Out

Tuesday - Abundant sunshine; Mild; High in the upper 60s; Low in the upper 40s
Wednesday - Partly sunny; Mild; High in the lower 70s; Low near 50 degrees

Forecast Discussion

Healthy shower and thunderstorm activity was ongoing along a cold front to our west as of the early morning hours Thursday. The front has done a better job of holding together than expected, and rainfall coverage has been bumped up into the scattered range for today. Most of the shower and thundershower activity will hold off until the PM hours at least. The rain clears out this evening, with some areas of valley fog later at night.

An unseasonably warm ridge of high pressure builds in for Friday and Saturday. Friday looks too “capped” for any showers or storms. Saturday gets so warm that the ridges will probably see a couple of showers and thunderstorms pop during the afternoon hours. I’m saying “thunderstorm” as the atmosphere will be unstable and while we won’t see many storms, the few that do develop could be feisty.

A cold front will approach from the west on Sunday, and cross the region on Monday. As moisture increases over SWVA, a few more showers and storms are anticipated for late Sunday and Sunday night. And we expect good coverage of showers and storms along the front on Monday. We don’t anticipate anything remotely close to the rainfall amounts that we saw over the past few days, however.

Dry and seasonably mild weather follows for Tuesday and Wednesday.


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